Everyone still has “Grey Expectations” going into Week 16, a week that won’t be quiet on the western front as Calgary and BC once again trade niceties. This week, however, is heavy on the eastern side of things, which will be reflected in our rankings.
In other words: catch up with the East, but run to the West.
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1. Vernon Adams Jr., BC ($7,072 salary): Strong performance this week, especially since it’s unlikely he’ll play another game after producing 326 yards of offense, not including a major. The Stampeders are tied for last in passing yards allowed per game (15 more than the eighth-ranked REDBLACKS) and are one of four teams that have already allowed at least 20 rushing yards. Imagine how lethal the Lions offense could be with Adams getting his hands on the touchdowns.
2. McLeod Bethel-Thompson, Toronto ($8,747): He has six big plays in the last three games, and with the Argos relying less on the run, Bethel-Thompson should keep that rate going. He’s not the league’s most efficient deep thrower (33 percent completion rate of 20 yards or more), but the passing game (and fantasy users) will continue to thrive thanks to the in-between style that defines their status at the top. East.
3. Dane Evans, Hamilton ($8,825): Don’t add Evans and expect five TD passes; if that happens, it’s a bummer, but the reason you’re playing him this week is to expect a quick hit. No major player playing this week has more passes of at least 20 yards than Evans, who has 11 and also has a 158.3 efficiency rating from long range.
4. Jake Mayer, Calgary ($8,700): The lack of a running threat is a negative for Mayer, but he has thrown multiple touchdowns in three of his four starts and averaged 280 yards. Like the aforementioned Adams, Meyer has been hooked on the deep ball, completing six of his nine touchdowns from at least 20 yards deep. He definitely has the players to add to that total, and it wouldn’t be a huge shock if he ended the week as the top-scoring center in fantasy football.
5. Trevor Harris, Montreal ($8,438): Harris’ production depends solely on how Alouettes receivers not named Eugene Lewis ($9,945) step up. As explained in this week’s Start vs. Seat game, Montreal’s passing game relies heavily on the All-Star wideout, who has six of his team-low 13 passes of 30 or more yards. The offense hasn’t recovered from the loss of William Stanback ($7,604), who could return at some point next month.
6. Nick Arbuckle, Ottawa ($6,783): The good news is that Arbuckle has just one interception over the last four games. The bad news is that Arbuckle has only thrown one touchdown pass over the past four games.
And then there is….
*Dominique Davis, Montreal ($5,164)
*Caleb Evans, Ottawa ($7,198)
*Antonio Pipkin, British Columbia ($6,412)
* Matthew Schiltz, Hamilton ($7,660)
*Tommy Stevens, Calgary ($5,000)
*Jamie Newman, Hamilton ($5,000)
1. Ka’Deem Carey, Calgary ($9,234): We’ll go double or nothing to make Carey the anchor for Week 16 lineups. With Jake Maier as the starter, the Stampeders’ passing game has a lethal advantage, but Carey leads the league with 98 rushing yards per game and has found the end zone in two of the last three games. If there are fireworks on Saturday night, expect Carey to light his share.
2. James Butler, BC ($7,687): Vernon Adams Jr.’s presence fueled Butler’s numbers in Week 15, as he scored his first major in more than two months and rushed for more yards (83) than he had in the previous three games . combined (61). BC’s offense has more than enough touches to make Butler a factor again.
3. Devonte Williams, Ottawa ($4,854): There’s a reason you run in the West, as seven of the top 10 rushers entering Week 16 are on the left side of the country. Williams, ninth with 348 yards, has yet to score a major, but has become a solid enough option where he won’t hurt fantasy users. He had 110 yards from scrimmage in Week 14, and there is significant potential to see him score 20+ fantasy points this season.
4. Peyton Logan, Calgary ($6,725): Logan leads the league with 164.3 all-purpose yards per game, and while he’s averaging just 38 yards from scrimmage, Logan has shown flashes of being able to take a screen or play for big yards. . In a lean week with quality RBs, his fantasy is above par.
5. AJ Ouellette, Toronto ($5,797): At the very least, Ouellette can contribute in the passing game with two games of at least 12 fantasy points since being acquired. The Argos passed the ball around, but Ouellette became part of a group that McLeod Bethel-Thompson often targets.
And then there is…
*Walter Fletcher, Montreal ($3770)
*Jeshrun Antwi, Montreal ($5,511): Full timeshare in the Alouettes backfield.
*Wes Hills, Hamilton ($2,500)
* Sean Thomas-Arlington, Hamilton ($3,247)
*Javon Leake, Toronto ($3,500)
*Daniel Adeboboye, Toronto ($3,500)
* Felix Garland-Gauthier, Hamilton ($2,500)
1. Eugene Lewis, Montreal ($9,945): Only a Week 10 loss against Winnipeg (2.8 FP) kept Lewis from entering Week 16 with eight straight games in double-digit fantasy points. Montreal’s passing game starts and ends with Lewis, and even though the Tiger-Cats know it, it hasn’t stopped him from posting a combined 46.3 fantasy points in the previous two meetings this season against Hamilton.
2. Tim White, Hamilton ($10,111): Over the past four games, White has caught 31 of 45 targets for 369 yards and four carries, and added a bonus fantasy point or two on the occasional run and/or kickoff return. He averaged at least 17.6 points in three of those games, including a 39 FP performance against Montreal in Week 11.
3. Jaylon Ecklin, Ottawa ($7,953): The only thing Ecklin doesn’t do is score, as he has just two majors this season. It’s a small dent that’s more than made up for by his abundance of targets, which helped him have a league-best five games of at least 100 receiving yards, two of which came at the expense of the Alouettes’ secondary.
4. Dominique Rimes, BC ($9,441): Rimes doesn’t often make the top three, but feel free to build a fantasy lineup around him this week. He looks like the dominant receiver he was at the start of the season, and adding Adams to the lineup could be the impetus for a strong run late in the season.
5. Malik Henry, Calgary ($8,822): If he’s behind your secondary, good luck. Henry has caught at least one pass of 50 yards or more in his last three games, each leading to big scores. His 13.9 yards per route continues to increase with each deep connection with Jake Meyer.
6. Brian Burnham, BC ($8,454): No one was happier than Burnham to see the Lions’ passing game return to its regular schedule after he posted his fourth straight game of at least 17 fantasy points in a win over Stamps.
7. Curley Gittens Jr., Toronto ($7,676): He’s emerging as the top option in the Argonauts’ diverse passing game. Gittens has been targeted 33 times over the past four games, and he showed what he can do with a heavy workload, going 8-of-12 for 161 yards in Week 14.
8. Reggie Bagelton, Calgary ($8,378): If Jake Meyer is looking for Malik Henry, he’s looking Bagelton. He’s been quietly consistent, putting up double-digit fantasy numbers in nine of his last 10.
9. Steven Dunbar Jr., Hamilton ($7,261): Dunbar broke out of a jam with a fantastic 18.6 points in a surprise win over Winnipeg. He had double-digit FP in seven of the first eight games and would be a solid addition to any fantasy lineup.
10. Lucky Whitehead, BC ($9,106): There’s always one high-end receiver who lingers for a breakout, and Whitehead is Example A this week.
And then there is…
*Keon Hatcher, British Columbia ($5,442)
* Reggie White Jr., Montreal ($5,456)
*Nate Behar, Ottawa ($5,354)
*Markeith Ambles, Toronto ($5,319)
* Luther Hakunavanhu, Calgary ($2904)
*Jake Wieneke, Montreal ($5,329)
*Darwin Adams, Ottawa ($5,578)
*Chandler Worthy, Montreal ($5,111)
*Jalen Philpott, British Columbia ($2,637)
*Kiondre Smith, Hamilton ($2,500)
*Brandon Banks, Toronto ($6,018)
1. Calgary ($4,545): A turnover rate of plus-17 is too hard to ignore.
2. Montreal ($3,226): If we’re looking at turnover rates to ignore them, we have to look at the Alouettes, who faced a Ticats offense that committed a league-leading 41 turnovers.
3. Toronto ($3,822): You could also look at Ottawa ($4,029) considering the Argos and REDBLACKS have the fewest offensive majors in the league.
4. Ottawa ($4029)
6. Hamilton ($3200)
BC: Vernon Adams Jr. ($7,072), Brian Burnham ($8,454), Keon Hatcher ($5,442). This $20,968 stack has everything to love. Remember: Adams didn’t have a major last week.
Calgary: Jake Mayer ($8,700), Malik Henry ($8,822), Luther Hakunavanhu ($2,904). Count on Meyer and Henry to hit deep, but if Hakunawanhu can ever get more than 2-3 targets per game, the Stampeders will open up a potential late-season X-factor. All this for a moderate price of $20,426.
Hamilton: Dane Evans ($8,825), Tim White ($10,111), Wes Gills ($2,500). Expect big results from Evans and White. The hidden gem in that $21,336 stack is Hills, who had 58 yards on 10 carries last week. If Hills can add to the Tiger-Cats’ four rushing majors, it will be a heck of a stack.
Toronto: McLeod Bethel-Thompson ($8,747), Curley Gittens Jr. ($7,676), Damonte Coxey ($2,500). Coxey is carving his way to favorite target status with Bethel-Thompson, and if that trend continues, he should have a serious outing on Saturday. Play this stack for $18,923 and run with it.