Steelers vs. Browns odds, line, spread: Thursday Night Football picks NFL predictions model 139-102

The Pittsburgh Steelers will hit the road to visit FirstEnergy Stadium on Thursday Night Football to open the NFL Week 3 schedule. The Steelers will face the Cleveland Browns in the first of two games between the clubs this season. Pittsburgh is 1-1 after a three-point loss to the New England Patriots in Week 2. Cleveland is also 1-1 after losing by 13 points in the final two minutes against the New York Jets four days ago.

Kickoff is at 8:15 PM ET in Cleveland. Caesars Sportsbook lists Cleveland as a 4.5-point favorite, while the over/under, or the total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 38 in the latest Steelers vs. Browns odds. Before making your Browns vs. Steelers picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

This model, which simulates every NFL play 10,000 times, has grown more than $7,000 for $100 players among the NFL’s top picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 139-102 record in NFL ranked picks dating back to the 2017 season.

The model has also finished in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years in direct NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it goes above.

Now, the model has set her sights on the Steelers vs. Browns matchup and just posted her picks and predictions for Thursday’s football game. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model selection. Now here are some NFL odds and betting lines for the Browns vs. Steelers matchup:

  • Spread Steelers vs. Browns: Browns -4.5
  • Steelers vs. Browns over/under: 38 points
  • Steelers vs. Browns money line: Browns -220, Steelers +180
  • PIT: Steelers are 9-10-1 against the spread in their last 20 games
  • CLE: Browns are 8-11 against the spread in their last 19 games
  • Steelers vs. Browns picks: See picks at SportsLine

Recommended game | Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Why the Steelers can cover

Pittsburgh catches a Cleveland team struggling defensively to start the 2022 season. The Browns couldn’t slow down Joe Flacco and the New York Jets in Week 2 and gave up 55 points in two games. Cleveland is in the bottom 10 in the NFL in passing yards allowed, with the Browns giving up 6.6 yards per pass attempt and five touchdown passes through two weeks.

The Browns have a 46.2% conversion rate on third down, and Pittsburgh’s offense excels at ball security, losing only twice this season. The Steelers don’t have a prolific running back, but Pittsburgh does have a pair of 2021 Pro Bowl players in the likes of Naji Harris and Dionte Johnson. Harris has over 1,600 yards from scrimmage in 2021, tied for 4th in the league, and Johnson has averaged over 95 catches and 1,000 receptions per season over the last two campaigns.

Why the Browns can cover

Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt form one of the most potent running back duos in the NFL, and Chubb is an elite performer. The three-time Pro Bowler enters the 2022 campaign with three straight 1,000-yard rushing seasons and is super efficient. He is averaging 5.3 yards per carry for his career and 5.6 yards per carry since the start of the 2020 season. Chubb also ranks third among active NFL players with an average of 84.1 rushing yards per game and has 228 yards on 39 carries through the first two games this season.

Chubb tied a career high with three rushing touchdowns last week, and the Browns also have a new addition in Amari Cooper. Cooper, a four-time Pro Bowler, has five 1,000-yard seasons and ranks in the top 15 among active players in career receptions, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns. Cooper also caught nine passes for 101 yards and a touchdown in Week 2, his 26th career 100-yard performance.

How to make a Browns vs. Steelers pick

The SportsLine model is leaning toward the overall result, predicting 40 points scored. The model also says that one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the simulations. At SportsLine, you can only see the Steelers vs. Browns model picks.

So who will win Steelers vs. Browns on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Browns vs. Steelers split you need to fall on, all from a model that goes 139-102 in NFL picks, and find out.

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