A pair of Lone Star State rivals meet as Texas takes on Texas Tech in the first game of Week 4 in college football.
Both sides are 2-1 on the year: Texas with two easy non-conference wins plus a 1-point loss to Alabama; and Tech with a win over then-ranked Houston, but lost by 13 points on the road to NC State.
Here’s what you need to know about this weekend’s matchup.
How to watch
When: Sat, September 24
Time: 3:30 PM ET
TV: ESPN Network
Stream: fuboTV (Start Free Trial)
Odds, distribution of points, betting lines
Line: Texas -6
Money line: UT -300 TECH +200
FPI Pick: Texas 80.5%
What you need to know
Texas. It’s not exactly big news that Bijan Robinson is the driving force behind the Texas offense. Ranibek is 1st in the Big 12 with 147.67 yards per game, scoring (12 ppg), total points (36) and total TDs (6) and is 2nd in yards at speed (311), TD at speed (5). , and rushing yards per game (103.7). Having Robinson as a deep play-action threat helps open up space for Longhorn receivers like Xavier Worthy to take advantage of Tech’s back seven, which has struggled to cover, 1 of a dozen FBS teams to allow at least 3 passes of 50-plus yards this season
Texas Tech. Don’t forget the Red Raiders’ ability to threaten Robinson and Longhorn’s offense. Tech is playing better than expected at the line, ranking 9th in the FBS so far allowing just a shade over 2 ypc, 18th allowing 82.7 rushing ypg and ranking in the top 20 nationally allowing less than 90 rushing yards per game and all 0.7 rushing touchdowns. The unit can plug holes and shrink the pocket with a battery of tackles behind the line to challenge Robinson early.
Texas vs. Texas Tech: Quick Facts
+ Tech ranks 4th nationally with 373.7 passing yards per game
+ Texas ranks 101st in the nation in 3rd down offense (.333)
+ Technika has a minus-1.67 turnover margin, 123rd place in the country
+ Texas is 7-1 when beating opponents under Steve Sarkisian and 0-7 when beating opponents
+ Tech ranks 18th nationally in pass defense, allowing 82.7 ypg
+ Texas is 1-6 when going 0-29 under Sarkisian and 6-2 when going 30 or more
+ Texas Tech has held opponents to 30 points in 6 straight games
+ Texas is 2-6 under Sark when the game is decided by 1-9 points
+ Tech is 14-12 all-time in Big 12 openers, but 0-5 in openers against Texas
+ Texas is 4-2 under Sark when winning turnovers and 1-4 when losing it
+ Tech ranks 115th nationally at 101.7 ypg
+ UT is 4-1 when winning TOP under Sarkisian and 3-7 when losing
+ Texas Tech is 5-4 in home Big 12 openers
+ Texas is 1-7 under Sark when allowing 30-odd points
Texas vs. Texas Tech Prediction
If it comes down to losses, Texas should prevail: the Longhorns have just 1 loss in 3 games and none in their last 2. Donovan Smith has thrown 5 picks in Tech’s last 2 outings with 3 TD passes.
But the Red Raiders can still put the ball in the air. Only 3 other teams do it better than Tech, which has nearly 374 passing yards per game and has the physicality in the front seven to challenge Texas’ plans to run the ball early in the game.
A couple of clean or negative plays in the first quarter, and Tech can establish an important rhythm by forcing the Longhorn offense off the field on 3rd down. QB still a question for Texas: Quinn Ewers will be fit for the game after being injured against Alabama, but it’s unclear if he’ll play.
Whoever does will have a marked advantage at the skill positions against Texas Tech, especially at receiver, as the Longhorn receivers match up well against the Red Raiders’ secondary.
College football headquarters forecast: Texas 37, Texas Tech 31
Top 25 according to AP poll
- Ohio State
- the state of kentucky
- State of Oklahoma
- state of tennessee
- state of north carolina
- Be Miss
- Wake Forest
- Texas A&M
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